SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 62.93%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 18.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.11%) and 1-3 (7.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.24%), while for a RB Leipzig win it was 2-1 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| RB Leipzig | Draw | Bayern Munich |
18.11% ( -0.51) | 18.96% ( 0.65) | 62.93% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 62.52% ( -3.7) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.02% ( -4.21) | 31.97% ( 4.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.46% ( -5.08) | 53.53% ( 5.08) |
| RB Leipzig Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.29% ( -3.13) | 30.7% ( 3.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.04% ( -3.85) | 66.96% ( 3.85) |
| Bayern Munich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.22% ( -1.22) | 9.77% ( 1.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 67.49% ( -2.91) | 32.5% ( 2.9) |
| Score Analysis |
| RB Leipzig | Draw | Bayern Munich |
| 2-1 @ 4.87% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 3.54% ( 0.5)3-2 @ 2.23% ( -0.31)2-0 @ 2.09% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 1.92% ( -0.15)Other @ 3.47% Total : 18.11% | 1-1 @ 8.24% ( 0.77) 2-2 @ 5.66% ( -0.26)0-0 @ 3% ( 0.64)3-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.36)Other @ 0.33% Total : 18.96% | 1-2 @ 9.58% ( 0.39) 0-2 @ 8.11% ( 0.98)1-3 @ 7.43% ( -0.1)0-1 @ 6.98% ( 1.18)0-3 @ 6.29% ( 0.44)2-3 @ 4.39% ( -0.46)1-4 @ 4.32% ( -0.31)0-4 @ 3.66% ( 0.07)2-4 @ 2.55% ( -0.43)1-5 @ 2.01% ( -0.27)0-5 @ 1.7% ( -0.07)2-5 @ 1.19% ( -0.28)3-4 @ 1% ( -0.28)Other @ 3.74% Total : 62.93% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 92 | 38 | 54 | 71 |
| 2 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 83 | 44 | 39 | 71 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 64 | 41 | 23 | 66 |
| 4 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 51 | 38 | 13 | 62 |
| 5 | Freiburg | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 51 | 44 | 7 | 59 |
| 6 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 57 | 49 | 8 | 50 |
| 7 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 50 |
| 8 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 57 | 48 | 9 | 49 |
| 9 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 46 |
| 10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 43 |
| 11 | FC Koln | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 49 | 54 | -5 | 42 |
| 12 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 57 | -9 | 36 |
| 13 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 51 | 64 | -13 | 36 |
| 14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 10 | 5 | 19 | 40 | 72 | -32 | 35 |
| 15 | Augsburg | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 42 | 63 | -21 | 34 |
| 16 | Stuttgart | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 33 |
| R | Schalke 04Schalke | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 35 | 71 | -36 | 31 |
| R | Hertha Berlin | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 42 | 69 | -27 | 29 |
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