Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 53.48%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 24.32% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.22%) and 0-2 (7.89%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 2-1 (6.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
