SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 81.55%. A draw had a probability of 10.7% and a win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 7.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-3 with a probability of 7.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (7.36%) and 1-2 (6.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.98%), while for a Schalke 04 win it was 2-1 (2.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Schalke 04 | Draw | Bayern Munich |
7.7% ( 0.94) | 10.75% ( 1.29) | 81.55% ( -2.23) |
| Both teams to score 64% ( -2.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 83.11% ( -3.44) | 16.88% ( 3.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 66.48% ( -5.39) | 33.51% ( 5.4) |
| Schalke 04 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.07% ( -1.6) | 33.92% ( 1.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.4% ( -1.77) | 70.6% ( 1.77) |
| Bayern Munich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 96.86% ( -0.8) | 3.14% ( 0.8) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 86% ( -2.9) | 14% ( 2.9) |
| Score Analysis |
| Schalke 04 | Draw | Bayern Munich |
| 2-1 @ 2.15% ( 0.35) 3-2 @ 1.34% ( 0.07)1-0 @ 1.15% ( 0.3)Other @ 3.06% Total : 7.7% | 1-1 @ 3.98% ( 0.78) 2-2 @ 3.73% ( 0.33)3-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.31)Other @ 0.42% Total : 10.75% | 1-3 @ 7.96% ( 0.42) 0-3 @ 7.36% ( 0.69)1-2 @ 6.89% ( 0.88)1-4 @ 6.89% ( -0.19)0-2 @ 6.38% ( 1.05)0-4 @ 6.37% ( 0.1)1-5 @ 4.77% ( -0.55)0-5 @ 4.41% ( -0.3)2-3 @ 4.3% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 3.72% ( -0.28)0-1 @ 3.68% ( 0.85)1-6 @ 2.75% ( -0.58)2-5 @ 2.58% ( -0.43)0-6 @ 2.54% ( -0.41)2-6 @ 1.49% ( -0.4)1-7 @ 1.36% ( -0.43)3-4 @ 1.34% ( -0.16)0-7 @ 1.26% ( -0.33)3-5 @ 0.93% ( -0.2)Other @ 4.58% Total : 81.55% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 92 | 38 | 54 | 71 |
| 2 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 83 | 44 | 39 | 71 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 64 | 41 | 23 | 66 |
| 4 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 51 | 38 | 13 | 62 |
| 5 | Freiburg | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 51 | 44 | 7 | 59 |
| 6 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 57 | 49 | 8 | 50 |
| 7 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 50 |
| 8 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 57 | 48 | 9 | 49 |
| 9 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 46 |
| 10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 43 |
| 11 | FC Koln | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 49 | 54 | -5 | 42 |
| 12 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 57 | -9 | 36 |
| 13 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 51 | 64 | -13 | 36 |
| 14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 10 | 5 | 19 | 40 | 72 | -32 | 35 |
| 15 | Augsburg | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 42 | 63 | -21 | 34 |
| 16 | Stuttgart | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 33 |
| R | Schalke 04Schalke | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 35 | 71 | -36 | 31 |
| R | Hertha Berlin | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 42 | 69 | -27 | 29 |
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