SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 55.89%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 24.18% and a draw had a probability of 19.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.84%) and 0-2 (6.2%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 (5.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Bayern Munich |
24.18% ( 0.02) | 19.93% ( -0.01) | 55.89% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 68.78% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.91% ( 0.06) | 28.09% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 51.15% ( 0.08) | 48.85% ( -0.07) |
| Borussia Dortmund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.7% ( 0.05) | 23.3% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.76% ( 0.07) | 57.24% ( -0.07) |
| Bayern Munich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.67% ( 0.02) | 10.33% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 66.22% ( 0.04) | 33.78% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Bayern Munich |
| 2-1 @ 5.8% 1-0 @ 3.51% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.2% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.82% ( 0)2-0 @ 2.55% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.24% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.16% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.03% ( 0)Other @ 2.88% Total : 24.18% | 1-1 @ 7.96% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.58% ( 0)3-3 @ 2.42% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 2.41% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.57% Total : 19.93% | 1-2 @ 9.03% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 6.84% ( -0)0-2 @ 6.2% ( -0.01)0-1 @ 5.46% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 4.98% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 4.69% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 3.88% ( 0)2-4 @ 2.83% ( 0)0-4 @ 2.66% ( -0)1-5 @ 1.76% ( 0)3-4 @ 1.37% ( 0)2-5 @ 1.28% ( 0)0-5 @ 1.21% ( -0)Other @ 3.68% Total : 55.89% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 92 | 38 | 54 | 71 |
| 2 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 83 | 44 | 39 | 71 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 64 | 41 | 23 | 66 |
| 4 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 51 | 38 | 13 | 62 |
| 5 | Freiburg | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 51 | 44 | 7 | 59 |
| 6 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 57 | 49 | 8 | 50 |
| 7 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 50 |
| 8 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 57 | 48 | 9 | 49 |
| 9 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 46 |
| 10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 43 |
| 11 | FC Koln | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 49 | 54 | -5 | 42 |
| 12 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 57 | -9 | 36 |
| 13 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 51 | 64 | -13 | 36 |
| 14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 10 | 5 | 19 | 40 | 72 | -32 | 35 |
| 15 | Augsburg | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 42 | 63 | -21 | 34 |
| 16 | Stuttgart | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 33 |
| R | Schalke 04Schalke | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 35 | 71 | -36 | 31 |
| R | Hertha Berlin | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 42 | 69 | -27 | 29 |
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