SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Freiburg | 6 | 5 | 13 |
| 3 | Bayern Munich | 6 | 14 | 12 |
| 4 | Hoffenheim | 6 | 5 | 12 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Real Madrid | 5 | 10 | 15 |
| 2 | Barcelona | 5 | 14 | 13 |
| 3 | Real Betis | 5 | 5 | 12 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 39.92%. A win for Bayern Munich had a probability of 35.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.65%) and 0-2 (5.93%). The likeliest Bayern Munich win was 2-1 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bayern Munich | Draw | Barcelona |
35.85% ( -0.12) | 24.23% ( 0.06) | 39.92% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 60.47% ( -0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.89% ( -0.31) | 42.11% ( 0.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.49% ( -0.31) | 64.51% ( 0.31) |
| Bayern Munich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.74% ( -0.2) | 23.26% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.81% ( -0.3) | 57.18% ( 0.3) |
| Barcelona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.79% ( -0.1) | 21.2% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 45.91% ( -0.16) | 54.09% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bayern Munich | Draw | Barcelona |
| 2-1 @ 8.14% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.19% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 5.25% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.95% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.07% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.55% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.44% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.12% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.22% Total : 35.85% | 1-1 @ 11.15% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.31% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 4.93% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.22% | 1-2 @ 8.65% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.65% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 5.93% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 4.47% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.26% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 3.07% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.74% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.19% ( 0)Other @ 2.69% Total : 39.92% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Manchester CityMan City | 35 | 27 | 4 | 4 | 92 | 31 | 61 | 85 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 36 | 25 | 6 | 5 | 83 | 42 | 41 | 81 |
| 3 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 35 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 63 | 31 | 32 | 66 |
| 4 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 35 | 20 | 6 | 9 | 51 | 41 | 10 | 66 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 36 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 70 | 42 | 28 | 65 |
| 6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 66 | 45 | 21 | 58 |
| 7 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 65 | 59 | 6 | 57 |
| 8 | Aston Villa | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 48 | 44 | 4 | 57 |
| 9 | Brentford | 36 | 13 | 14 | 9 | 54 | 45 | 9 | 53 |
| 10 | Fulham | 36 | 15 | 6 | 15 | 52 | 49 | 3 | 51 |
| 11 | Chelsea | 35 | 11 | 10 | 14 | 36 | 41 | -5 | 43 |
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 37 | 46 | -9 | 43 |
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 36 | 11 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 52 | -22 | 40 |
| 14 | Bournemouth | 36 | 11 | 6 | 19 | 37 | 69 | -32 | 39 |
| 15 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 36 | 10 | 7 | 19 | 38 | 52 | -14 | 37 |
| 16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 36 | 67 | -31 | 34 |
| 17 | Everton | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 32 | 56 | -24 | 32 |
| 18 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 36 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 46 | 71 | -25 | 31 |
| 19 | Leicester CityLeicester | 36 | 8 | 6 | 22 | 49 | 67 | -18 | 30 |
| R | Southampton | 36 | 6 | 6 | 24 | 31 | 66 | -35 | 24 |
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