SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Bayern Munich | 4 | 14 | 10 |
| 3 | Union Berlin | 4 | 8 | 10 |
| 4 | Freiburg | 4 | 4 | 9 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Borussia Dortmund | 5 | 4 | 12 |
| 2 | Bayern Munich | 4 | 14 | 10 |
| 3 | Union Berlin | 4 | 8 | 10 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 80.53%. A draw had a probability of 12.3% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 7.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.08%) and 1-2 (8.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.61%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 2-1 (2.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Union Berlin | Draw | Bayern Munich |
7.2% ( -0.48) | 12.28% ( -1.25) | 80.53% ( 1.74) |
| Both teams to score 52.04% ( 3.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.98% ( 4.9) | 28.02% ( -4.89) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 51.24% ( 5.86) | 48.77% ( -5.85) |
| Union Berlin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.97% ( 2.58) | 45.04% ( -2.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 19.04% ( 1.99) | 80.96% ( -1.98) |
| Bayern Munich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.68% ( 1.32) | 5.32% ( -1.31) |
