SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 68.7%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 13.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 1-0 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.41%), while for a Hertha Berlin win it was 1-2 (3.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.
| Result | ||
| RB Leipzig | Draw | Hertha Berlin |
68.7% ( 0.03) | 18.01% ( -0.01) | 13.29% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 53.84% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.4% ( 0.03) | 37.59% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.17% ( 0.04) | 59.83% ( -0.03) |
| RB Leipzig Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.05% ( 0.01) | 9.94% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 67.1% ( 0.04) | 32.9% ( -0.04) |
| Hertha Berlin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.79% | 40.21% |
