SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 47.9%. A win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 27.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.43%) and 0-2 (8.09%). The likeliest Hertha Berlin win was 1-0 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Hertha Berlin | Draw | Freiburg |
27.47% ( 0.32) | 24.63% ( -0.03) | 47.9% ( -0.3) |
| Both teams to score 55.19% ( 0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.68% ( 0.34) | 47.32% ( -0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.46% ( 0.32) | 69.54% ( -0.31) |
| Hertha Berlin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.83% ( 0.42) | 31.17% ( -0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.49% ( 0.49) | 67.51% ( -0.49) |
| Freiburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.18% ( 0.01) | 19.82% ( -0.01) |
