SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 79.1%. A draw had a probability of 12.5% and a win for FC Koln had a probability of 8.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 3-0 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.81%) and 3-1 (8.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.42%), while for a FC Koln win it was 1-2 (2.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bayern Munich | Draw | FC Koln |
79.1% ( -0.78) | 12.55% ( 0.52) | 8.35% ( 0.25) |
| Both teams to score 57.48% ( -1.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 75.37% ( -1.97) | 24.63% ( 1.97) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 55.57% ( -2.64) | 44.43% ( 2.64) |
| Bayern Munich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.1% ( -0.5) | 4.89% ( 0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 80.35% ( -1.52) | 19.65% ( 1.52) |
| FC Koln Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.44% ( -1.13) | 39.56% ( 1.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 23.75% ( -1.06) | 76.24% ( 1.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bayern Munich | Draw | FC Koln |
| 3-0 @ 8.86% ( 0.27) 2-0 @ 8.81% ( 0.56)3-1 @ 8.22% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 8.17% ( 0.28)4-0 @ 6.69% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 6.2% ( -0.21)1-0 @ 5.84% ( 0.56)5-0 @ 4.04% ( -0.16)3-2 @ 3.81% ( -0.12)5-1 @ 3.74% ( -0.27)4-2 @ 2.88% ( -0.19)6-0 @ 2.03% ( -0.15)6-1 @ 1.88% ( -0.21)5-2 @ 1.74% ( -0.18)Other @ 6.2% Total : 79.1% | 1-1 @ 5.42% ( 0.37) 2-2 @ 3.79% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 1.94% ( 0.25)3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.23% Total : 12.55% | 1-2 @ 2.51% ( 0.1) 0-1 @ 1.79% ( 0.18)2-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.87% Total : 8.35% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 92 | 38 | 54 | 71 |
| 2 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 83 | 44 | 39 | 71 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 64 | 41 | 23 | 66 |
| 4 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 51 | 38 | 13 | 62 |
| 5 | Freiburg | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 51 | 44 | 7 | 59 |
| 6 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 57 | 49 | 8 | 50 |
| 7 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 50 |
| 8 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 57 | 48 | 9 | 49 |
| 9 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 46 |
| 10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 43 |
| 11 | FC Koln | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 49 | 54 | -5 | 42 |
| 12 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 57 | -9 | 36 |
| 13 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 51 | 64 | -13 | 36 |
| 14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 10 | 5 | 19 | 40 | 72 | -32 | 35 |
| 15 | Augsburg | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 42 | 63 | -21 | 34 |
| 16 | Stuttgart | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 33 |
| R | Schalke 04Schalke | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 35 | 71 | -36 | 31 |
| R | Hertha Berlin | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 42 | 69 | -27 | 29 |
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