SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 42.51%. A win for Eintracht Frankfurt had a probability of 32.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Eintracht Frankfurt win was 0-1 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Koln would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Koln | Draw | Eintracht Frankfurt |
42.51% ( 0.69) | 25.23% ( 0.03) | 32.25% ( -0.73) |
| Both teams to score 55.95% ( -0.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.42% ( -0.39) | 47.57% ( 0.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.22% ( -0.36) | 69.78% ( 0.36) |
| FC Koln Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.68% ( 0.16) | 22.32% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.21% ( 0.24) | 55.79% ( -0.25) |
| Eintracht Frankfurt Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.02% ( -0.65) | 27.97% ( 0.65) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.39% ( -0.84) | 63.61% ( 0.83) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Koln | Draw | Eintracht Frankfurt |
| 1-0 @ 9.36% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 8.95% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 7.02% ( 0.18)3-1 @ 4.47% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 3.51% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 2.85% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.68% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.32% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.07% ( -0)Other @ 2.29% Total : 42.51% | 1-1 @ 11.92% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.24% ( 0.1)2-2 @ 5.7% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.23% | 0-1 @ 7.95% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.6% ( -0.12)0-2 @ 5.07% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 3.23% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.09)1-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.81% Total : 32.25% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 92 | 38 | 54 | 71 |
| 2 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 83 | 44 | 39 | 71 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 64 | 41 | 23 | 66 |
| 4 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 51 | 38 | 13 | 62 |
| 5 | Freiburg | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 51 | 44 | 7 | 59 |
| 6 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 57 | 49 | 8 | 50 |
| 7 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 50 |
| 8 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 57 | 48 | 9 | 49 |
| 9 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 46 |
| 10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 43 |
| 11 | FC Koln | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 49 | 54 | -5 | 42 |
| 12 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 57 | -9 | 36 |
| 13 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 51 | 64 | -13 | 36 |
| 14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 10 | 5 | 19 | 40 | 72 | -32 | 35 |
| 15 | Augsburg | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 42 | 63 | -21 | 34 |
| 16 | Stuttgart | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 33 |
| R | Schalke 04Schalke | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 35 | 71 | -36 | 31 |
| R | Hertha Berlin | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 42 | 69 | -27 | 29 |
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