Koln's strong home form, and Frankfurt's struggles so far this year, mean we are predicting a narrow win for the hosts on Saturday.
Goals are to be expected between two sides that struggle to keep many clean sheets, whilst they also remain fairly prolific in front of goal at the other end as well.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 45.42%. A win for Eintracht Frankfurt had a probability of 31.05% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.78%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Eintracht Frankfurt win was 1-2 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Koln would win this match.
