SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 69.77%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 14.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (8%) and 0-2 (7.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.29%), while for a Wolfsburg win it was 2-1 (3.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wolfsburg | Draw | Bayern Munich |
14.33% ( -2.04) | 15.89% ( -0.49) | 69.77% ( 2.53) |
| Both teams to score 65.89% ( -3.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 75.84% ( -1.98) | 24.15% ( 1.97) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 56.19% ( -2.67) | 43.81% ( 2.66) |
| Wolfsburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.33% ( -3.64) | 29.66% ( 3.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.28% ( -4.65) | 65.71% ( 4.65) |
| Bayern Munich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.67% ( -0.05) | 6.32% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 76.22% ( -0.13) | 23.77% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wolfsburg | Draw | Bayern Munich |
| 2-1 @ 3.82% ( -0.27) 1-0 @ 2.28% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 2.14% ( -0.41)3-1 @ 1.55% ( -0.29)2-0 @ 1.39% ( -0.1)Other @ 3.16% Total : 14.33% | 1-1 @ 6.29% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 5.28% ( -0.39)3-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.38)0-0 @ 1.88% ( 0.24)Other @ 0.47% Total : 15.89% | 1-2 @ 8.69% ( 0.26) 1-3 @ 8% ( 0.22)0-2 @ 7.15% ( 0.89)0-3 @ 6.58% ( 0.8)1-4 @ 5.52% ( 0.14)0-1 @ 5.18% ( 0.65)2-3 @ 4.86% ( -0.37)0-4 @ 4.54% ( 0.54)2-4 @ 3.35% ( -0.27)1-5 @ 3.05% ( 0.07)0-5 @ 2.51% ( 0.29)2-5 @ 1.85% ( -0.15)1-6 @ 1.4% ( 0.03)3-4 @ 1.36% ( -0.27)0-6 @ 1.15% ( 0.13)Other @ 4.59% Total : 69.77% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 92 | 38 | 54 | 71 |
| 2 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 83 | 44 | 39 | 71 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 64 | 41 | 23 | 66 |
| 4 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 51 | 38 | 13 | 62 |
| 5 | Freiburg | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 51 | 44 | 7 | 59 |
| 6 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 57 | 49 | 8 | 50 |
| 7 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 50 |
| 8 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 57 | 48 | 9 | 49 |
| 9 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 46 |
| 10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 43 |
| 11 | FC Koln | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 49 | 54 | -5 | 42 |
| 12 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 57 | -9 | 36 |
| 13 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 51 | 64 | -13 | 36 |
| 14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 10 | 5 | 19 | 40 | 72 | -32 | 35 |
| 15 | Augsburg | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 42 | 63 | -21 | 34 |
| 16 | Stuttgart | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 33 |
| R | Schalke 04Schalke | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 35 | 71 | -36 | 31 |
| R | Hertha Berlin | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 42 | 69 | -27 | 29 |
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