MX23RW : Sunday, February 26 01:34:28
SM
EFL Cup final: 14 hrs 55 mins
Dec 14, 2021 at 7.30pm UK
Wolfsburg
2 - 3
FC Koln
Nmecha (8'), Weghorst (51')
Nmecha (14'), Roussillon (80'), Arnold (81')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Modeste (34', 89'), Uth (73')
Schmitz (61'), Czichos (87')

We said: Wolfsburg 1-1 FC Koln

With Koln remaining difficult to beat, and Wolfsburg in poor form, we are predicting this one to be a tight affair with very little between the two sides. As a result, with neither performing at their best last time out, particularly the hosts, we can see this one finishing level and with few goals in the contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 38.12%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 35.54% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (6.53%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 1-0 (9.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Koln would win this match.

Result
WolfsburgDrawFC Koln
35.54%26.33%38.12%
Both teams to score 53.05%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.35%51.65%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.57%73.43%
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.09%27.91%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.47%63.53%
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.59%26.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.43%61.57%
Score Analysis
    Wolfsburg 35.54%
    FC Koln 38.12%
    Draw 26.33%
WolfsburgDrawFC Koln
1-0 @ 9.41%
2-1 @ 7.99%
2-0 @ 6%
3-1 @ 3.4%
3-0 @ 2.55%
3-2 @ 2.26%
4-1 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 35.54%
1-1 @ 12.52%
0-0 @ 7.37%
2-2 @ 5.32%
3-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.33%
0-1 @ 9.81%
1-2 @ 8.34%
0-2 @ 6.53%
1-3 @ 3.7%
0-3 @ 2.9%
2-3 @ 2.36%
1-4 @ 1.23%
0-4 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 38.12%

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Bundesliga Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Borussia DortmundDortmund22151645271846
2Bayern MunichBayern21127261214043
3Union BerlinUnion Berlin21134435241143
4RB Leipzig22126445271842
5Freiburg2112453431340
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt22115643311238
7Wolfsburg2296740291133
8Mainz 05Mainz229583734332
9Werder Bremen2293103441-730
10Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach228593839-129
11Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen2183103535027
12FC Koln226883236-426
13Augsburg2273122638-1224
14Hertha Berlin2255122740-1320
15Stuttgart2247112738-1119
16Hoffenheim2254132941-1219
17VfL BochumVfL Bochum2261152454-3019
18Schalke 04Schalke2237121642-2616
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