Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Santos and Sao Paulo.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: America Mineiro 1-0 Santos
Sunday, August 14 at 10pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, August 14 at 10pm in Brasileiro
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Atletico Mineiro | 23 | 3 | 35 |
| 8 | Santos | 22 | 6 | 30 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 22 | 4 | 30 |
Last Game: America Mineiro 2-2 Sao Paulo
Friday, August 19 at 1am in Copa do Brasil
Friday, August 19 at 1am in Copa do Brasil
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | America Mineiro | 22 | -5 | 30 |
| 11 | Sao Paulo | 22 | 4 | 29 |
| 12 | Goias | 23 | -5 | 29 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 44.23%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 27.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.73%) and 2-1 (8.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13%), while for a Sao Paulo win it was 0-1 (9.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Santos in this match.
| Result | ||
| Santos | Draw | Sao Paulo |
44.23% ( -0.78) | 27.99% ( 0.67) | 27.78% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 45.42% ( -1.75) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.92% ( -2.27) | 60.07% ( 2.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.7% ( -1.76) | 80.29% ( 1.76) |
| Santos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.96% ( -1.45) | 27.04% ( 1.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.59% ( -1.93) | 62.4% ( 1.93) |
| Sao Paulo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.25% ( -1.15) | 37.74% ( 1.15) |
