Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Avai win with a probability of 40.62%. A win for Santos had a probability of 30.48% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Avai win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Santos win was 0-1 (11.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Avai in this match.