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Australian A-League | Gameweek 19
Feb 15, 2025 at 7am UK
Simonds Stadium

Western Utd
0 - 2
Auckland FC


Lauton (40'), Garuccio (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-2)
May (44'), Mata (45+2')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Western United and Auckland FC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Macarthur 2-2 Western Utd
Sunday, February 9 at 6am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Auckland FC 2-1 Macarthur
Saturday, February 1 at 4am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western United win with a probability of 42.58%. A win for Auckland FC had a probability of 32.59% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Western United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.85%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Auckland FC win was 1-2 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result
Western UnitedDrawAuckland FC
42.58% (-0.453 -0.45) 24.82% (0.083000000000002 0.08) 32.59% (0.36600000000001 0.37)
Both teams to score 57.49% (-0.147 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.37% (-0.256 -0.26)45.63% (0.253 0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.04% (-0.243 -0.24)67.96% (0.24000000000001 0.24)
Western United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.54% (-0.318 -0.32)21.46% (0.314 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.52% (-0.489 -0.49)54.48% (0.485 0.48)
Auckland FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.19% (0.10299999999999 0.1)26.81% (-0.107 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.9% (0.136 0.14)62.1% (-0.138 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    Western United 42.58%
    Auckland FC 32.59%
    Draw 24.82%
Western UnitedDrawAuckland FC
2-1 @ 8.97% (-0.048 -0.05)
1-0 @ 8.85% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.81% (-0.057 -0.06)
3-1 @ 4.6% (-0.068 -0.07)
3-0 @ 3.5% (-0.063 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3.03% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.77% (-0.043 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.35% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.17% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 42.58%
1-1 @ 11.65% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.9% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.75% (0.062 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.33% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.82%
1-2 @ 7.67% (0.056 0.06)
0-1 @ 7.57% (0.104 0.1)
0-2 @ 4.99% (0.083 0.08)
1-3 @ 3.37% (0.034 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.59% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-3 @ 2.19% (0.042 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.11% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 32.59%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Macarthur 2-2 Western Utd
Sunday, February 9 at 6am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Western Utd 2-2 Central Coast
Wednesday, January 29 at 8am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Western Utd 3-1 Newcastle Jets
Friday, January 17 at 6am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Victory 3-4 Western Utd
Friday, January 10 at 8.35am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Melbourne City 2-0 Western Utd
Tuesday, January 7 at 7am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Perth Glory 2-3 Western Utd
Friday, January 3 at 10.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Auckland FC 2-1 Macarthur
Saturday, February 1 at 4am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Western Sydney 0-1 Auckland FC
Sunday, January 26 at 6am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Adelaide United 2-2 Auckland FC
Wednesday, January 22 at 8.30am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Auckland FC 3-0 Melbourne City
Saturday, January 18 at 4am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Perth Glory 1-0 Auckland FC
Saturday, January 11 at 10.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Auckland FC 0-0 Victory
Wednesday, January 1 at 4am in Australian A-League


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