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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western United win with a probability of 42.58%. A win for Auckland FC had a probability of 32.59% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.85%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Auckland FC win was 1-2 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Western United | Draw | Auckland FC |
42.58% ( -0.45) | 24.82% ( 0.08) | 32.59% ( 0.37) |
| Both teams to score 57.49% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.37% ( -0.26) | 45.63% ( 0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.04% ( -0.24) | 67.96% ( 0.24) |
| Western United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.54% ( -0.32) | 21.46% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.52% ( -0.49) | 54.48% ( 0.48) |
| Auckland FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.19% ( 0.1) | 26.81% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.9% ( 0.14) | 62.1% ( -0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Western United | Draw | Auckland FC |
| 2-1 @ 8.97% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 8.85% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.81% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 4.6% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 3.5% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 3.03% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.77% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.35% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.54% Total : 42.58% | 1-1 @ 11.65% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.9% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.75% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.82% | 1-2 @ 7.67% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 7.57% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 4.99% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 3.37% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.59% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.11% Total : 32.59% |
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