SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 57.09%. A win for Auckland FC had a probability of 22.9% and a draw had a probability of 20%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.94%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Auckland FC win was 1-2 (5.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Adelaide United | Draw | Auckland FC |
57.09% ( 0.37) | 20% ( -0.1) | 22.9% ( -0.27) |
| Both teams to score 66.8% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.06% ( 0.18) | 29.93% ( -0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.89% ( 0.22) | 51.11% ( -0.22) |
| Adelaide United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.39% ( 0.15) | 10.6% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.6% ( 0.34) | 34.4% ( -0.34) |
| Auckland FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.72% ( -0.1) | 25.27% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.96% ( -0.14) | 60.03% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Adelaide United | Draw | Auckland FC |
| 2-1 @ 9.28% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.94% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 6.75% ( 0.02)1-0 @ 6.01% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 5.05% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 4.77% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.89% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 2.83% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 2.68% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.75% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 1.27% ( 0.03)4-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.01)5-2 @ 1.2% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.44% Total : 57.09% | 1-1 @ 8.27% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 6.38% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 2.68% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 2.19% Other @ 0.48% Total : 20% | 1-2 @ 5.69% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 3.69% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2.93% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 2.54% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.29% Total : 22.9% |
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