SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macarthur win with a probability of 47.45%. A win for Western United had a probability of 30.66% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.99%) and 2-0 (5.83%). The likeliest Western United win was 1-2 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Macarthur | Draw | Western United |
47.45% ( -0.42) | 21.89% ( 0.31) | 30.66% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 67.26% ( -1.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.57% ( -1.51) | 32.43% ( 1.51) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.93% ( -1.77) | 54.07% ( 1.77) |
| Macarthur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.72% ( -0.69) | 14.28% ( 0.7) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.92% ( -1.37) | 42.08% ( 1.38) |
| Western United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.46% ( -0.68) | 21.54% ( 0.68) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.39% ( -1.06) | 54.61% ( 1.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Macarthur | Draw | Western United |
| 2-1 @ 8.94% ( 0.1) 1-0 @ 5.99% ( 0.33)2-0 @ 5.83% ( 0.18)3-1 @ 5.8% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 4.45% ( -0.16)3-0 @ 3.78% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.82% ( -0.12)4-2 @ 2.17% ( -0.14)4-0 @ 1.84% ( -0.04)4-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.09)5-1 @ 1.1% ( -0.07)Other @ 3.62% Total : 47.45% | 1-1 @ 9.19% ( 0.33) 2-2 @ 6.87% ( -0.07)0-0 @ 3.08% ( 0.24)3-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.13)Other @ 0.48% Total : 21.89% | 1-2 @ 7.06% ( 0.11) 0-1 @ 4.72% ( 0.28)0-2 @ 3.63% ( 0.15)1-3 @ 3.61% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.51% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.39% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.07)Other @ 3.54% Total : 30.66% |
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