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Australian A-League | Gameweek 23
Mar 15, 2025 at 8.30am UK
Marconi Stadium
MV

Western Sydney
vs.
Victory

 
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Western Sydney Wanderers and Melbourne Victory.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Western Sydney 4-1 Perth Glory
Sunday, March 2 at 6am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Victory 3-0 Central Coast
Saturday, March 8 at 8.35am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 43.27%. A win for Western Sydney Wanderers has a probability of 33.95% and a draw has a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (6.38%) and 0-2 (5.66%). The likeliest Western Sydney Wanderers win is 2-1 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.9%).

Result
Western Sydney WanderersDrawMelbourne Victory
33.95% (0.387 0.39) 22.78% (0.02 0.02) 43.27% (-0.41 -0.41)
Both teams to score 65.44% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.56% (0.015000000000001 0.02)35.43% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.53% (0.019000000000005 0.02)57.47% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Western Sydney Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.81% (0.211 0.21)21.19% (-0.214 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.93% (0.32700000000001 0.33)54.07% (-0.331 -0.33)
Melbourne Victory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.03% (-0.155 -0.16)16.97% (0.153 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.93% (-0.273 -0.27)47.06% (0.27 0.27)
Score Analysis
    Western Sydney Wanderers 33.95%
    Melbourne Victory 43.27%
    Draw 22.78%
Western Sydney WanderersDrawMelbourne Victory
2-1 @ 7.68% (0.052 0.05)
1-0 @ 5.58% (0.031 0.03)
2-0 @ 4.33% (0.052 0.05)
3-1 @ 3.97% (0.053 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.52% (0.029 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.24% (0.041 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.54% (0.03 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.37% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 33.95%
1-1 @ 9.9% (0.0040000000000013 0)
2-2 @ 6.81% (0.012 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.6% (-0.004 -0)
3-3 @ 2.08% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 22.78%
1-2 @ 8.78% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-1 @ 6.38% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-2 @ 5.66% (-0.063 -0.06)
1-3 @ 5.19% (-0.050999999999999 -0.05)
2-3 @ 4.03% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.35% (-0.055 -0.05)
1-4 @ 2.3% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.79% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.48% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-4 @ 0.92% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 43.27%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Western Sydney 4-1 Perth Glory
Sunday, March 2 at 6am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Central Coast 0-4 Western Sydney
Saturday, February 22 at 6am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Western Sydney 2-1 Macarthur
Sunday, February 16 at 6am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Sydney FC 3-3 Western Sydney
Saturday, February 8 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Brisbane Roar 0-1 Western Sydney
Friday, January 31 at 8.35am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Western Sydney 0-1 Auckland FC
Sunday, January 26 at 6am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Victory 3-0 Central Coast
Saturday, March 8 at 8.35am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Brisbane Roar 1-1 Victory
Saturday, March 1 at 6am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Victory 2-2 Melbourne City
Saturday, February 22 at 8.35am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Victory 1-0 Wellington
Friday, February 14 at 8.35am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Newcastle Jets 3-0 Victory
Saturday, February 8 at 6am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Perth Glory 0-2 Victory
Saturday, February 1 at 10.45am in Australian A-League


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