SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 41.94%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 36.26% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.17%) and 0-1 (5.01%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 2-1 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Western Sydney Wanderers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Western Sydney Wanderers |
36.26% ( -0.36) | 21.79% ( 0.09) | 41.94% ( 0.26) |
| Both teams to score 69.95% ( -0.46) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.19% ( -0.56) | 29.81% ( 0.56) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.04% ( -0.68) | 50.96% ( 0.68) |
| Brisbane Roar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.49% ( -0.41) | 17.5% ( 0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.99% ( -0.72) | 48% ( 0.72) |
| Western Sydney Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.79% ( -0.13) | 15.2% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.16% ( -0.25) | 43.84% ( 0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Western Sydney Wanderers |
| 2-1 @ 7.61% ( 0) 1-0 @ 4.64% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 4.42% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 4.17% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 4.04% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.35% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.93% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.82% ( -0.06)4-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.02% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.13% Total : 36.26% | 1-1 @ 8.74% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 7.17% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 2.66% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 2.62% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.61% Total : 21.79% | 1-2 @ 8.23% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 5.17% ( 0.03)0-1 @ 5.01% ( 0.14)0-2 @ 4.72% ( 0.11)2-3 @ 4.5% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 2.96% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 2.43% ( 0)2-4 @ 2.12% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.4% ( 0.02)3-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.03)1-5 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 3.25% Total : 41.94% |
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