SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 41.88%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 35.62% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.83%) and 2-0 (5.21%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-2 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Western Sydney Wanderers in this match.
| Result | ||
| Western Sydney Wanderers | Draw | Macarthur |
41.88% ( 0.46) | 22.5% ( 0.27) | 35.62% ( -0.74) |
| Both teams to score 67.01% ( -1.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.44% ( -1.54) | 33.56% ( 1.54) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.63% ( -1.78) | 55.36% ( 1.77) |
| Western Sydney Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.24% ( -0.45) | 16.76% ( 0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.31% ( -0.81) | 46.69% ( 0.8) |
| Macarthur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.5% ( -1.04) | 19.49% ( 1.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.63% ( -1.73) | 51.36% ( 1.72) |
| Score Analysis |
| Western Sydney Wanderers | Draw | Macarthur |
| 2-1 @ 8.52% ( 0.16) 1-0 @ 5.83% ( 0.38)2-0 @ 5.21% ( 0.26)3-1 @ 5.07% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 4.15% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 3.1% ( 0.11)4-1 @ 2.27% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.85% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 1.39% ( 0.03)4-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.08)Other @ 3.47% Total : 41.88% | 1-1 @ 9.54% ( 0.32) 2-2 @ 6.97% ( -0.1)0-0 @ 3.27% ( 0.26)3-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.15)Other @ 0.47% Total : 22.5% | 1-2 @ 7.8% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.34% ( 0.26)0-2 @ 4.37% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 4.25% ( -0.14)2-3 @ 3.8% ( -0.18)0-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.74% ( -0.12)2-4 @ 1.55% ( -0.13)0-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.05)3-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.49% Total : 35.62% |
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