Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auckland FC win with a probability of 51.82%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 24.26% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Auckland FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (8.87%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 0-1 (6.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Auckland FC would win this match.
Result | ||
Auckland FC | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
51.82% (![]() | 23.92% (![]() | 24.26% (![]() |
Both teams to score 54.46% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.13% (![]() | 46.87% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.88% (![]() | 69.12% (![]() |
Auckland FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.92% (![]() | 18.08% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.99% (![]() | 49.01% (![]() |
Wellington Phoenix Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.48% (![]() | 33.52% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.84% (![]() | 70.16% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Auckland FC | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
1-0 @ 10.36% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.69% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 8.87% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.52% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.05% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.02% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.36% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.16% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.29% ( ![]() Other @ 3.48% Total : 51.81% | 1-1 @ 11.33% 0-0 @ 6.06% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.3% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.1% ( ![]() Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.92% | 0-1 @ 6.63% (![]() 1-2 @ 6.19% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.62% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.26% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.93% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.32% ( ![]() Other @ 2.32% Total : 24.26% |
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