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Australian A-League | Gameweek 20
Feb 22, 2025 at 4am UK
Mount Smart Stadium
WP

Auckland FC
6 - 1
Wellington

Moreno (31', 36', 60'), Rogerson (40', 80'), Randall (90+3')
Pijnaker (2'), Howieson (84')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Brooke-Smith (49')
Piper (59'), Hughes (88')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Auckland FC and Wellington Phoenix.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Western Utd 0-2 Auckland FC
Saturday, February 15 at 7am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Victory 1-0 Wellington
Friday, February 14 at 8.35am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auckland FC win with a probability of 51.82%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 24.26% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Auckland FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (8.87%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 0-1 (6.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Auckland FC would win this match.

Result
Auckland FCDrawWellington Phoenix
51.82% (-0.128 -0.13) 23.92% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 24.26% (0.123 0.12)
Both teams to score 54.46% (0.122 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.13% (0.094000000000001 0.09)46.87% (-0.092999999999996 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.88% (0.088000000000001 0.09)69.12% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)
Auckland FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.92% (-0.012999999999991 -0.01)18.08% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.99% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)49.01% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Wellington Phoenix Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.48% (0.15900000000001 0.16)33.52% (-0.158 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.84% (0.171 0.17)70.16% (-0.17100000000001 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    Auckland FC 51.81%
    Wellington Phoenix 24.26%
    Draw 23.92%
Auckland FCDrawWellington Phoenix
1-0 @ 10.36% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.69% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.87% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.52% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 5.05% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.02% (0.01 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.36% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 2.16% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.29% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 51.81%
1-1 @ 11.33%
0-0 @ 6.06% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.3% (0.02 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.1% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 23.92%
0-1 @ 6.63% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 6.19% (0.026 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.62% (0.017 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.26% (0.019 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.93% (0.016 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.32% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 24.26%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Western Utd 0-2 Auckland FC
Saturday, February 15 at 7am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Auckland FC 2-1 Macarthur
Saturday, February 1 at 4am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Western Sydney 0-1 Auckland FC
Sunday, January 26 at 6am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Adelaide United 2-2 Auckland FC
Wednesday, January 22 at 8.30am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Auckland FC 3-0 Melbourne City
Saturday, January 18 at 4am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Perth Glory 1-0 Auckland FC
Saturday, January 11 at 10.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Victory 1-0 Wellington
Friday, February 14 at 8.35am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Wellington 1-1 Brisbane Roar
Thursday, February 6 at 4am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Wellington 0-0 Central Coast
Saturday, January 25 at 4am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Macarthur 1-2 Wellington
Monday, January 20 at 8am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Wellington 0-0 Sydney FC
Wednesday, January 15 at 6am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Wellington 1-2 Adelaide United
Saturday, January 11 at 4am in Australian A-League


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