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Australian A-League | Gameweek 18
Feb 6, 2025 at 4am UK
Westpac Stadium
BR

Wellington
1 - 1
Brisbane Roar

Hughes (61')
Retre (51')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Hore (71')
Bility (25'), O'Shea (39'), Zimarino (90+5')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Wellington Phoenix and Brisbane Roar.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wellington 0-0 Central Coast
Saturday, January 25 at 4am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Brisbane Roar 0-1 Western Sydney
Friday, January 31 at 8.35am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 38.34%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 36.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (6.17%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 0-1 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.

Result
Wellington PhoenixDrawBrisbane Roar
38.34% (0.85 0.85) 25.33% (0.132 0.13) 36.33% (-0.982 -0.98)
Both teams to score 56.56% (-0.507 -0.51)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.82% (-0.635 -0.63)47.18% (0.634 0.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.59% (-0.592 -0.59)69.41% (0.59100000000001 0.59)
Wellington Phoenix Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.76% (0.166 0.17)24.24% (-0.165 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.41% (0.235 0.23)58.59% (-0.235 -0.23)
Brisbane Roar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.66% (-0.833 -0.83)25.33% (0.834 0.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.88% (-1.159 -1.16)60.12% (1.159 1.16)
Score Analysis
    Wellington Phoenix 38.34%
    Brisbane Roar 36.33%
    Draw 25.32%
Wellington PhoenixDrawBrisbane Roar
1-0 @ 8.7% (0.269 0.27)
2-1 @ 8.47% (0.103 0.1)
2-0 @ 6.17% (0.22 0.22)
3-1 @ 4% (0.068 0.07)
3-0 @ 2.91% (0.117 0.12)
3-2 @ 2.75% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.42% (0.031 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.03% (0.046 0.05)
4-2 @ 0.97% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 38.34%
1-1 @ 11.94% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 6.14% (0.161 0.16)
2-2 @ 5.81% (-0.069 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.26% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.32%
0-1 @ 8.43% (0.022 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.2% (-0.138 -0.14)
0-2 @ 5.79% (-0.126 -0.13)
1-3 @ 3.75% (-0.156 -0.16)
2-3 @ 2.66% (-0.098 -0.1)
0-3 @ 2.65% (-0.124 -0.12)
1-4 @ 1.29% (-0.086 -0.09)
2-4 @ 0.91% (-0.057 -0.06)
0-4 @ 0.91% (-0.066 -0.07)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 36.33%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Wellington 0-0 Central Coast
Saturday, January 25 at 4am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Macarthur 1-2 Wellington
Monday, January 20 at 8am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Wellington 0-0 Sydney FC
Wednesday, January 15 at 6am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Wellington 1-2 Adelaide United
Saturday, January 11 at 4am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Melbourne City 2-0 Wellington
Friday, January 3 at 6am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Wellington 2-1 Newcastle Jets
Saturday, December 28 at 4am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Brisbane Roar 0-1 Western Sydney
Friday, January 31 at 8.35am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Sydney FC 3-4 Brisbane Roar
Saturday, January 18 at 6am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Melbourne City 1-0 Brisbane Roar
Saturday, January 11 at 6am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Brisbane Roar 0-1 Newcastle Jets
Tuesday, January 7 at 9am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Brisbane Roar 1-3 Central Coast
Friday, January 3 at 8.35am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Western Utd 1-0 Brisbane Roar
Sunday, December 29 at 6am in Australian A-League


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