Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 38.34%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 36.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (6.17%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 0-1 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
38.34% (![]() | 25.33% (![]() | 36.33% (![]() |
Both teams to score 56.56% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.82% (![]() | 47.18% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.59% (![]() | 69.41% (![]() |
Wellington Phoenix Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.76% (![]() | 24.24% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.41% (![]() | 58.59% (![]() |
Brisbane Roar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.66% (![]() | 25.33% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.88% (![]() | 60.12% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
1-0 @ 8.7% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.47% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.17% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.91% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.75% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.42% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.03% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 0.97% ( ![]() Other @ 1.92% Total : 38.34% | 1-1 @ 11.94% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.14% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.81% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.26% ( ![]() Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.32% | 0-1 @ 8.43% (![]() 1-2 @ 8.2% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.79% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.75% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.66% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.65% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.29% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 0.91% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 0.91% ( ![]() Other @ 1.74% Total : 36.33% |
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