SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Bologna | 38 | -11 | 46 |
| 14 | Empoli | 38 | -20 | 41 |
| 15 | Sampdoria | 38 | -17 | 36 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Spezia | 38 | -30 | 36 |
| 17 | Salernitana | 38 | -45 | 31 |
| 18 | Cagliari | 38 | -34 | 30 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Empoli win with a probability of 50.35%. A win for Salernitana had a probability of 26.28% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Empoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Salernitana win was 1-2 (6.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Empoli | Draw | Salernitana |
50.35% ( 0.49) | 23.37% ( -0.11) | 26.28% ( -0.38) |
| Both teams to score 58.4% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.38% ( 0.19) | 42.62% ( -0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.98% ( 0.19) | 65.02% ( -0.19) |
| Empoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.96% ( 0.25) | 17.04% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 52.81% ( 0.45) | 47.19% ( -0.45) |
| Salernitana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.39% ( -0.19) | 29.61% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.36% ( -0.23) | 65.65% ( 0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Empoli | Draw | Salernitana |
| 2-1 @ 9.62% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 8.93% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.9% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 5.67% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 4.66% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 3.45% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.51% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 2.06% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.53% ( 0.02)Other @ 4.02% Total : 50.35% | 1-1 @ 10.86% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.85% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.05% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.4% ( 0)Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.36% | 1-2 @ 6.61% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 6.14% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 3.74% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 2.68% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.22% Total : 26.29% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Napoli | 34 | 26 | 5 | 3 | 70 | 23 | 47 | 83 |
| 2 | Juventus | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 52 | 28 | 24 | 66 |
| 3 | Lazio | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 52 | 26 | 26 | 64 |
| 4 | Inter Milan | 34 | 20 | 3 | 11 | 62 | 35 | 27 | 63 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 55 | 39 | 16 | 61 |
| 6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 56 | 41 | 15 | 58 |
| 7 | Roma | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 45 | 33 | 12 | 58 |
| 8 | Fiorentina | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 46 |
| 9 | Monza | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 46 |
| 10 | Torino | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 46 |
| 11 | Bologna | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 45 |
| 12 | Udinese | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 43 | 41 | 2 | 43 |
| 13 | SassuoloSassuolo | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 43 |
| 14 | Salernitana | 33 | 7 | 14 | 12 | 41 | 54 | -13 | 35 |
| 15 | Empoli | 33 | 8 | 11 | 14 | 29 | 43 | -14 | 35 |
| 16 | Lecce | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 28 | 41 | -13 | 31 |
| 17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 28 | 51 | -23 | 30 |
| 18 | SpeziaSpezia | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 28 | 56 | -28 | 27 |
| 19 | Cremonese | 34 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 31 | 59 | -28 | 24 |
| 20 | Sampdoria | 33 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 20 | 59 | -39 | 17 |
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