Even including their heroics last time out, Empoli have won just four times at home since promotion back to the top flight last summer, and are more likely to draw according to recent trends.
In 2022, the Azzurri have finished seven league games all-square - only Genoa have done so more since the turn of the year - and Torino have drawn each of their last three too.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 38.68%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 36.89% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.72%) and 0-2 (5.81%). The likeliest Empoli win was 2-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Torino would win this match.
