Even in the spirit of the season, it is difficult to see Salernitana being gifted even a goal on Tuesday, let alone a point, as they slip further adrift of safety.
Udinese will regret the timing of the mid-season break given their recent improvement, but have time for one more home win, which they will seal due to their greater attacking confidence and the visitors' ongoing defensive woes.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 66.74%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 13.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.5%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.54%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (4.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
