SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Fiorentina | 38 | 8 | 62 |
| 8 | Atalanta BC | 38 | 17 | 59 |
| 9 | Hellas Verona | 38 | 6 | 53 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Bologna | 38 | -11 | 46 |
| 14 | Empoli | 38 | -20 | 41 |
| 15 | Sampdoria | 38 | -17 | 36 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 68.41%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 14.71%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.12%) and 3-1 (7.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.15%), while for a Empoli win it was 1-2 (4.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Atalanta BC | Draw | Empoli |
68.41% ( 1.42) | 16.87% ( -0.54) | 14.71% ( -0.88) |
| Both teams to score 62.68% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.63% ( 0.78) | 28.37% ( -0.77) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 50.79% ( 0.95) | 49.2% ( -0.95) |
| Atalanta BC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.39% ( 0.49) | 7.61% ( -0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 72.78% ( 1.24) | 27.22% ( -1.24) |
| Empoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.85% ( -0.52) | 32.15% ( 0.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.37% ( -0.59) | 68.63% ( 0.6) |
| Score Analysis |
| Atalanta BC | Draw | Empoli |
| 2-1 @ 9.21% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 8.12% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 7.91% ( 0.1)3-0 @ 6.97% ( 0.19)1-0 @ 6.3% ( -0.13)4-1 @ 5.09% ( 0.19)4-0 @ 4.49% ( 0.23)3-2 @ 4.49% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 2.89% ( 0.07)5-1 @ 2.62% ( 0.16)5-0 @ 2.31% ( 0.17)5-2 @ 1.49% ( 0.07)6-1 @ 1.13% ( 0.09)4-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.01)6-0 @ 0.99% ( 0.1)Other @ 3.33% Total : 68.41% | 1-1 @ 7.15% ( -0.26) 2-2 @ 5.23% ( -0.14)0-0 @ 2.45% ( -0.11)3-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.35% Total : 16.87% | 1-2 @ 4.06% ( -0.21) 0-1 @ 2.78% ( -0.17)2-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 1.58% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.79% Total : 14.71% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Napoli | 26 | 22 | 2 | 2 | 60 | 16 | 44 | 68 |
| 2 | Inter Milan | 26 | 16 | 2 | 8 | 47 | 30 | 17 | 50 |
| 3 | Lazio | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 41 | 19 | 22 | 49 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 26 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 43 | 33 | 10 | 48 |
| 5 | Roma | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 35 | 25 | 10 | 47 |
| 6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 42 | 30 | 12 | 42 |
| 7 | Juventus | 26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 44 | 22 | 22 | 38 |
| 8 | Torino | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 37 |
| 9 | Bologna | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 31 | 34 | -3 | 36 |
| 10 | Udinese | 26 | 8 | 11 | 7 | 34 | 30 | 4 | 35 |
| 11 | Fiorentina | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 34 |
| 12 | Monza | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 31 | 36 | -5 | 33 |
| 13 | SassuoloSassuolo | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 34 | 40 | -6 | 33 |
| 14 | Empoli | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 28 |
| 15 | Lecce | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 27 |
| 16 | Salernitana | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 29 | 45 | -16 | 26 |
| 17 | SpeziaSpezia | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 23 | 42 | -19 | 24 |
| 18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 26 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 21 | 38 | -17 | 19 |
| 19 | Cremonese | 26 | 1 | 9 | 16 | 21 | 48 | -27 | 12 |
| 20 | Sampdoria | 26 | 2 | 6 | 18 | 13 | 43 | -30 | 12 |
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