Empoli have scored only twice in their last six games; winning just three times at home all season. They should therefore be a welcome proposition for Napoli, who cannot afford to falter in the final few weeks.
It may not be entirely straightforward for the Partenopei, given the pressure on their shoulders, but they can break their brittle hosts down more than once over the course of 90 minutes.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 63.23%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 17.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.4%) and 0-1 (8.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.02%), while for a Empoli win it was 2-1 (4.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
