SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 59.48%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Lokomotiv Moscow had a probability of 18.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 2-0 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.2%), while for a Lokomotiv Moscow win it was 0-1 (5.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Zenit St Petersburg | Draw | Lokomotiv Moscow |
59.48% ( -0.19) | 21.63% ( 0.1) | 18.88% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 54.27% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.6% ( -0.29) | 43.4% ( 0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.2% ( -0.29) | 65.79% ( 0.29) |
| Zenit St Petersburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.78% ( -0.16) | 14.22% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 58.05% ( -0.3) | 41.95% ( 0.3) |
| Lokomotiv Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.26% ( -0.08) | 36.74% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.47% ( -0.07) | 73.52% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Zenit St Petersburg | Draw | Lokomotiv Moscow |
| 1-0 @ 10.18% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.95% ( -0)2-0 @ 9.94% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 6.47% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 6.46% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.24% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 3.16% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 3.15% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.58% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.23% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.23% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.89% Total : 59.47% | 1-1 @ 10.2% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 5.22% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 4.98% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 21.63% | 0-1 @ 5.23% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 5.11% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 2.62% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.71% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.56% Total : 18.88% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Zenit St PetersburgZenit | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 33 | 14 | 19 | 33 |
| 2 | FC KrasnodarKrasnodar | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 25 | 13 | 12 | 32 |
| 3 | Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 36 | 24 | 12 | 29 |
| 4 | Dynamo Moscow | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 28 |
| 5 | Spartak Moscow | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 27 |
| 6 | CSKA MoscowCSKA | 16 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 29 | 23 | 6 | 25 |
| 7 | Lokomotiv MoscowLokomotiv | 16 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 25 |
| 8 | Rubin Kazan | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 25 |
| 9 | Nizhny Novgorod | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 24 |
| 10 | RostovRostov | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 20 |
| 11 | Fakel | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 20 |
| 12 | Ural YekaterinburgUral | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 19 |
| 13 | OrenburgOrenburg | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 14 |
| 14 | Akhmat GroznyAkhmat Grozny | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 13 |
| 15 | Baltika | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 13 |
| 16 | Sochi | 17 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 10 |
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