SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 66.27%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Ural Yekaterinburg had a probability of 13.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.05%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.56%), while for a Ural Yekaterinburg win it was 0-1 (4.71%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zenit St Petersburg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Zenit St Petersburg | Draw | Ural Yekaterinburg |
66.27% ( 0.17) | 20.1% ( -0.08) | 13.63% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 47.56% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.63% ( 0.14) | 46.37% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.34% ( 0.13) | 68.66% ( -0.13) |
| Zenit St Petersburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.89% ( 0.09) | 13.11% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 60.25% ( 0.19) | 39.75% ( -0.19) |
| Ural Yekaterinburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.73% ( -0.05) | 45.27% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 18.86% ( -0.04) | 81.14% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Zenit St Petersburg | Draw | Ural Yekaterinburg |
| 2-0 @ 12.24% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 12.05% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 9.71% ( -0)3-0 @ 8.3% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 6.58% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 4.21% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 3.34% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.61% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.71% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.36% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.32% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.83% Total : 66.25% | 1-1 @ 9.56% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.94% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 3.85% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.76% Total : 20.1% | 0-1 @ 4.71% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 3.79% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.02% ( -0)1-3 @ 1% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.25% Total : 13.63% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | FC KrasnodarKrasnodar | 12 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 28 |
| 2 | Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 21 |
| 3 | Zenit St PetersburgZenit | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 20 |
| 4 | Lokomotiv MoscowLokomotiv | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 20 |
| 5 | Spartak Moscow | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 20 |
| 6 | CSKA MoscowCSKA | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 18 |
| 7 | Dynamo Moscow | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 18 |
| 8 | Nizhny Novgorod | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 17 |
| 9 | Ural YekaterinburgUral | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 16 |
| 10 | Rubin Kazan | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 20 | -9 | 13 |
| 11 | Akhmat GroznyAkhmat Grozny | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 12 |
| 12 | Fakel | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 12 |
| 13 | OrenburgOrenburg | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 11 |
| 14 | Baltika | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
| 15 | RostovRostov | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 10 |
| 16 | Sochi | 12 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 9 |
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