SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 38.2%. A win for Zenit St Petersburg had a probability of 35.27% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest Zenit St Petersburg win was 0-1 (9.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| CSKA Moscow | Draw | Zenit St Petersburg |
38.2% ( 0.97) | 26.53% ( 0.43) | 35.27% ( -1.4) |
| Both teams to score 52.39% ( -1.52) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.52% ( -1.9) | 52.48% ( 1.89) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.85% ( -1.65) | 74.15% ( 1.65) |
| CSKA Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.25% ( -0.34) | 26.75% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.97% ( -0.45) | 62.03% ( 0.45) |
| Zenit St Petersburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.53% ( -1.74) | 28.47% ( 1.74) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.76% ( -2.23) | 64.24% ( 2.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| CSKA Moscow | Draw | Zenit St Petersburg |
| 1-0 @ 10.04% ( 0.64) 2-1 @ 8.32% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 6.62% ( 0.36)3-1 @ 3.66% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.91% ( 0.13)3-2 @ 2.3% ( -0.12)4-1 @ 1.21% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.19% Total : 38.2% | 1-1 @ 12.61% ( 0.21) 0-0 @ 7.62% ( 0.56)2-2 @ 5.23% ( -0.22)3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.52% | 0-1 @ 9.57% ( 0.25) 1-2 @ 7.93% ( -0.26)0-2 @ 6.01% ( -0.13)1-3 @ 3.32% ( -0.28)0-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.19)2-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.21)1-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.14)Other @ 2.7% Total : 35.27% |
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