Vitoria de Guimaraes 1-0 Gil Vicente - Primeira Liga - May 21, 2023 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

With their eyes fixed on securing a place in Europe, Vitoria de Guimaraes must avoid any slip-ups in their final two games and we are backing them to edge out a Gil Vicente side who have not had it easy on the road of late. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 44.96%. A win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 29.74% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Gil Vicente win was 0-1 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Vitoria de Guimaraes in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Vitoria de Guimaraes.

Result
Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Gil Vicente
44.96% ( 0.15)	25.29% ( 0.01)	29.74% ( -0.16)

Both teams to score 54.55% (

-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.14% (

-0.13)

48.86% (

0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.04% (

-0.12)

70.96% (

0.12)

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.27% (

0.01)

21.72% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.11% (

0.02)

54.89% (

-0.02)

Gil Vicente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.69% (

-0.18)

30.31% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.51% (

-0.22)

66.49% (

0.22)

Score Analysis

Vitoria de Guimaraes 44.96%

Gil Vicente 29.74%

Draw 25.29%

Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Gil Vicente
1-0 @ 10.05% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.16% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.67% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 4.66% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.91% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.78% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.49% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( -0) Other @ 2.4% Total : 44.96%	1-1 @ 12% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.58% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.47% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.29%	0-1 @ 7.86% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.16% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 4.69% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.85% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.13% Total : 29.74%

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
1	Benfica	34	28	3	3	82	20	62	87
2	Porto	34	27	4	3	73	22	51	85
3	Braga	33	24	3	6	72	30	42	75
4	Sporting Lisbon	34	23	5	6	71	32	39	74
5	Arouca Arouca	34	15	9	10	36	37	-1	54
6	Vitoria de Guimaraes Guimaraes	34	16	5	13	34	39	-5	53
7	Chaves Chaves	34	12	10	12	35	40	-5	46
8	Famalicao Famalicao	34	13	5	16	39	47	-8	44
9	Boavista Boavista	34	12	8	14	43	54	-11	44
10	Casa Pia	34	11	8	15	31	40	-9	41
11	Vizela	34	11	7	16	34	38	-4	40
12	Rio Ave Rio Ave	34	10	10	14	36	43	-7	40
13	Gil Vicente	34	10	7	17	32	41	-9	37
14	Estoril Praia Estoril	34	10	5	19	33	49	-16	35
15	Portimonense Portimonense	34	10	4	20	25	48	-23	34
16	Maritimo	34	7	5	22	32	63	-31	26
17	Pacos de Ferreira Pacos de Ferreira	33	6	5	22	26	59	-33	23
R	Santa Clara Santa Clara	34	5	7	22	26	58	-32	22

Form, Standings, Stats