CF Montreal 2-1 Atlanta United - Major League Soccer - April 30, 2022 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

Apr 30, 2022 at 9pm UK at Saputo Stadium

Miller (4'), Torres (81')
Camacho (10'), Wanyama (31'), Kone (58')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Moreno (51')
Moreno (51'), Franco (54'), Ibarra (76')

The Match

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between CF Montreal and Atlanta United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: CF Montreal 2-0 Atlanta United

Historically, Atlanta have never gone goalless in any MLS encounter against their Saturday adversaries, but without Martinez, they are not the same team, and we do not expect them to create a ton of opportunities against a side who have played a much stingier defensive game in recent weeks. It seems as though being eliminated from the CCL was a blessing in disguise for Montreal, who have settled into quite a groove, limiting the number of opportunities of their opponents while their best players have shown up when needed. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 42.36%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 32.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 0-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that CF Montreal would win this match.

Result
CF Montreal	Draw	Atlanta United
42.36%	25.54%	32.1%

Both teams to score 54.88%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.05%

48.94%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.97%

71.03%

CF Montreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.01%

22.98%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.22%

56.78%

Atlanta United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.25%

28.74%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.42%

64.58%

Score Analysis

CF Montreal 42.36%

Atlanta United 32.1%

Draw 25.54%

CF Montreal	Draw	Atlanta United
1-0 @ 9.71% 2-1 @ 8.9% 2-0 @ 7.14% 3-1 @ 4.36% 3-0 @ 3.5% 3-2 @ 2.72% 4-1 @ 1.6% 4-0 @ 1.29% 4-2 @ 1% Other @ 2.12% Total : 42.36%	1-1 @ 12.11% 0-0 @ 6.61% 2-2 @ 5.55% 3-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.54%	0-1 @ 8.24% 1-2 @ 7.55% 0-2 @ 5.13% 1-3 @ 3.14% 2-3 @ 2.31% 0-3 @ 2.13% 1-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.62% Total : 32.1%

Head to Head

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Eastern Conference

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
1	New York City FC NY City	14	8	3	3	26	11	15	27
2	New York Red Bulls NY Red Bulls	16	7	5	4	26	17	9	26
3	Philadelphia Union Philadelphia	15	6	8	1	20	11	9	26
4	CF Montreal Montreal	16	8	2	6	30	28	2	26
5	Orlando City	17	7	4	6	20	23	-3	25
6	New England Revolution New England	16	6	5	5	27	26	1	23
7	FC Cincinnati Cincinnati	16	7	2	7	23	26	-3	23
8	Inter Miami Inter Miami	16	6	3	7	17	25	-8	21
9	Charlotte FC Charlotte FC	17	6	2	9	17	21	-4	20
10	Atlanta United Atlanta	15	5	4	6	23	22	1	19
11	Columbus Crew	15	4	6	5	18	17	1	18
12	Toronto	16	5	3	8	23	30	-7	18
13	Chicago Fire	16	3	5	8	14	22	-8	14
14	DC United	15	4	2	9	18	27	-9	14

Western Conference

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
1	New York City FC NY City	14	8	3	3	26	11	15	27
2	New York Red Bulls NY Red Bulls	16	7	5	4	26	17	9	26
3	Philadelphia Union Philadelphia	15	6	8	1	20	11	9	26
4	CF Montreal Montreal	16	8	2	6	30	28	2	26
5	Orlando City	17	7	4	6	20	23	-3	25
6	New England Revolution New England	16	6	5	5	27	26	1	23
7	FC Cincinnati Cincinnati	16	7	2	7	23	26	-3	23
8	Inter Miami Inter Miami	16	6	3	7	17	25	-8	21
9	Charlotte FC Charlotte FC	17	6	2	9	17	21	-4	20
10	Atlanta United Atlanta	15	5	4	6	23	22	1	19
11	Columbus Crew	15	4	6	5	18	17	1	18
12	Toronto	16	5	3	8	23	30	-7	18
13	Chicago Fire	16	3	5	8	14	22	-8	14
14	DC United	15	4	2	9	18	27	-9	14

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
1	Bournemouth	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Arsenal	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Aston Villa	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Brentford	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Chelsea	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Crystal Palace	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Everton	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Fulham	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Leeds United Leeds	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Leicester City Leicester	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	Liverpool	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	Manchester City Man City	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	Manchester United Man Utd	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Newcastle United Newcastle	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Nottingham Forest Nott'm Forest	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	Southampton	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	Tottenham Hotspur Spurs	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	West Ham United West Ham	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Wolverhampton Wanderers Wolves	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
2	New York Red Bulls	14	7	23
3	CF Montreal	14	4	23
4	Houston Dynamo	14	0	18

Form, Standings, Stats

CF Montreal

Atlanta United

We said: CF Montreal 2-0 Atlanta United

Data Analysis

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Eastern Conference

Western Conference

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