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| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 14 | 1 | 23 |
| 5 | Nashville SC | 14 | 2 | 22 |
| 6 | Minnesota United | 14 | 0 | 18 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | New York Red Bulls | 14 | 7 | 23 |
| 3 | CF Montreal | 14 | 4 | 23 |
| 4 | Houston Dynamo | 14 | 0 | 18 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 48.97%. A win for CF Montreal had a probability of 25.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 2-0 (8.9%). The likeliest CF Montreal win was 0-1 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nashville SC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nashville SC | Draw | CF Montreal |
48.97% ( -1.5) | 25.34% ( 0.7) | 25.69% ( 0.8) |
| Both teams to score 51.43% ( -1.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.45% ( -2.22) | 51.55% ( 2.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.65% ( -1.96) | 73.35% ( 1.96) |
| Nashville SC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.93% ( -1.51) | 21.07% ( 1.51) |
