Miles Robinson is the backbone of the Atlanta defence, and his absence should allow an already potent attacking squad in New England to have plenty of openings to pick apart the Five Stripes in the final third.
The Revolution still have a pretty leaky defensive unit, but they should be able to make up for it with all of the chances that they are likely to have in this one, not to mention the fact that they are coming off an offensive outburst in midweek which should help restore some confidence to their attack.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 59.29%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for New England Revolution had a probability of 20.07%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.59%) and 1-0 (8.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.37%), while for a New England Revolution win it was 1-2 (5.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
