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| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Columbus Crew | 14 | 1 | 17 |
| 8 | Atlanta United | 13 | 3 | 16 |
| 9 | Toronto | 15 | -8 | 15 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | New England Revolution | 15 | 0 | 20 |
| 8 | Inter Miami | 14 | -3 | 18 |
| 9 | Columbus Crew | 14 | 1 | 17 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 63.22%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Inter Miami had a probability of 15.72%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.42%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.01%), while for a Inter Miami win it was 0-1 (5.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Atlanta United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Atlanta United.
| Result | ||
| Atlanta United | Draw | Inter Miami |
63.22% ( 0.36) | 21.06% ( -0.11) | 15.72% ( -0.25) |
| Both teams to score 49.7% ( -0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.75% ( 0.03) | 46.24% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.46% ( 0.03) | 68.54% ( -0.03) |
| Atlanta United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.02% ( 0.12) | 13.98% ( -0.12) |
