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| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Orlando City | 14 | -3 | 21 |
| 6 | Atlanta United | 13 | 3 | 16 |
| 7 | Columbus Crew | 13 | 1 | 16 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Houston Dynamo | 14 | 0 | 18 |
| 5 | Columbus Crew | 13 | 1 | 16 |
| 6 | New England Revolution | 13 | -1 | 16 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 59.68%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 18.21%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.6%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.5%), while for a Columbus Crew win it was 0-1 (5.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Atlanta United | Draw | Columbus Crew |
59.68% ( 0.08) | 22.11% ( -0.01) | 18.21% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 51.48% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.5% ( -0.07) | 46.5% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.23% ( -0.07) | 68.77% ( 0.07) |
| Atlanta United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.82% ( 0) | 15.18% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 56.2% ( 0) | 43.8% ( -0) |
| Columbus Crew Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.7% ( -0.12) | 39.3% ( 0.12) |
