SM
The new MLS season is now up and running, and you can watch every match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe.
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | New York Red Bulls | 15 | 5 | 23 |
| 3 | CF Montreal | 14 | 4 | 23 |
| 4 | New England Revolution | 15 | 0 | 20 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Real Salt Lake | 15 | -1 | 25 |
| 4 | Austin FC | 14 | 10 | 24 |
| 5 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 14 | 1 | 23 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 56.92%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Austin FC had a probability of 21.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.64%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.91%), while for an Austin FC win it was 1-2 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| CF Montreal | Draw | Austin FC |
56.92% ( -0.04) | 21.56% ( 0) | 21.52% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 58.91% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.68% ( 0.03) | 39.32% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.35% ( 0.04) | 61.65% ( -0.04) |
| CF Montreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.33% | 13.67% ( -0) |
