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| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | New York Red Bulls | 14 | 7 | 23 |
| 3 | CF Montreal | 14 | 4 | 23 |
| 4 | Houston Dynamo | 14 | 0 | 18 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Orlando City | 14 | -3 | 21 |
| 6 | FC Cincinnati | 14 | 1 | 19 |
| 7 | Atlanta United | 13 | 3 | 16 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 64.76%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 15.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.47%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.46%), while for a FC Cincinnati win it was 0-1 (4.52%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CF Montreal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| CF Montreal | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
64.76% ( 2.23) | 19.99% ( -0.54) | 15.25% ( -1.69) |
| Both teams to score 52.11% ( -2.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.54% ( -0.79) | 42.46% ( 0.79) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.13% ( -0.79) | 64.87% ( 0.79) |
| CF Montreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.64% ( 0.39) | 12.36% ( -0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 61.8% ( 0.81) | 38.2% ( -0.82) |
| FC Cincinnati Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.46% ( -2.62) | 40.54% ( 2.61) |
