After losing their way recently, Nice are not as clear-cut favourites for this game as you would necessarily. Nevertheless, we still expect the home side to get back on track, maybe with a goal in each half and a clean sheet to boot.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 59.54%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 18.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.84%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.65%), while for a Lorient win it was 0-1 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nice would win this match.
