SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Monaco | 38 | 25 | 69 |
| 4 | Nice | 38 | 16 | 67 |
| 5 | Rennes | 38 | 42 | 66 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Nice | 38 | 16 | 67 |
| 5 | Rennes | 38 | 42 | 66 |
| 6 | Strasbourg | 38 | 17 | 63 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 39.26%. A win for Rennes had a probability of 34.57% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Rennes win was 0-1 (9.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Nice | Draw | Rennes |
| 39.26% | 26.17% | 34.57% |
| Both teams to score 53.47% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.94% | 51.06% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.08% | 72.92% |
| Nice Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.48% | 25.52% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.63% | 60.37% |
| Rennes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.78% | 28.21% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.08% | 63.91% |
| Score Analysis |
| Nice | Draw | Rennes |
| 1-0 @ 9.83% 2-1 @ 8.5% 2-0 @ 6.72% 3-1 @ 3.87% 3-0 @ 3.06% 3-2 @ 2.45% 4-1 @ 1.32% 4-0 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.47% Total : 39.26% | 1-1 @ 12.44% 0-0 @ 7.2% 2-2 @ 5.38% 3-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.17% | 0-1 @ 9.11% 1-2 @ 7.87% 0-2 @ 5.76% 1-3 @ 3.32% 0-3 @ 2.43% 2-3 @ 2.27% 1-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.76% Total : 34.57% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 33 | 24 | 3 | 6 | 76 | 34 | 42 | 75 |
| 2 | Marseille | 33 | 21 | 7 | 5 | 61 | 32 | 29 | 70 |
| 3 | Lens | 33 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 55 | 25 | 30 | 69 |
| 4 | MonacoMonaco | 33 | 18 | 7 | 8 | 66 | 50 | 16 | 61 |
| 5 | Lille | 33 | 17 | 8 | 8 | 60 | 40 | 20 | 59 |
| 6 | Rennes | 33 | 17 | 5 | 11 | 55 | 36 | 19 | 56 |
| 7 | Lyon | 33 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 52 | 37 | 15 | 53 |
| 8 | Clermont | 33 | 14 | 7 | 12 | 36 | 43 | -7 | 49 |
| 9 | Nice | 33 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 40 | 31 | 9 | 48 |
| 10 | Lorient | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 46 | 45 | 1 | 48 |
| 11 | Reims | 33 | 11 | 14 | 8 | 40 | 35 | 5 | 47 |
| 12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 33 | 13 | 4 | 16 | 52 | 52 | 0 | 43 |
| 13 | Toulouse | 33 | 12 | 5 | 16 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 41 |
| 14 | Brest | 33 | 8 | 11 | 14 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 35 |
| 15 | Auxerre | 33 | 8 | 9 | 16 | 31 | 55 | -24 | 33 |
| 16 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 32 |
| 17 | NantesNantes | 33 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 35 | 48 | -13 | 32 |
| 18 | Troyes | 33 | 4 | 10 | 19 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 22 |
| 19 | Ajaccio | 33 | 6 | 4 | 23 | 22 | 61 | -39 | 22 |
| R | Angers | 33 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 27 | 72 | -45 | 14 |
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