Nice 4-2 Saint-Etienne - Ligue 1 - May 11, 2022 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

While Saint-Etienne's slender win over Nice last season will provide them with some confidence on Wednesday, Les Verts could be in for a challenging evening against their Champions League-chasing opponents this time around. Securing all three points is required if they are to move out of the bottom three, but we can only see the Eaglets running away with victory on home soil. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 62.35%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 16.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.92%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.02%), while for a Saint-Etienne win it was 0-1 (5.07%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nice would win this match.

Result
Nice	Draw	Saint-Etienne
62.35% ( -3.52)	21.1% ( 1.02)	16.54% ( 2.5)

Both teams to score 51.37% (

2.67)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.05% (

0.47)

44.95% (

-0.47)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.69% (

0.45)

67.31% (

-0.45)

Nice Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.16% (

-0.9)

13.83% (

0.9)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.8% (

-1.81)

41.2% (

1.81)

Saint-Etienne Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.61% (

3.68)

40.38% (

-3.68)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23% (

3.17)

77% (

-3.18)

Score Analysis

Nice 62.34%

Saint-Etienne 16.54%

Draw 21.1%

Nice	Draw	Saint-Etienne
1-0 @ 11.05% ( -0.6) 2-0 @ 10.92% ( -1) 2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0.14) 3-0 @ 7.21% ( -0.92) 3-1 @ 6.54% ( -0.13) 4-0 @ 3.56% ( -0.59) 4-1 @ 3.23% ( -0.17) 3-2 @ 2.96% ( 0.23) 4-2 @ 1.47% ( 0.07) 5-0 @ 1.41% ( -0.29) 5-1 @ 1.28% ( -0.12) Other @ 2.81% Total : 62.34%	1-1 @ 10.02% ( 0.47) 0-0 @ 5.59% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 4.49% ( 0.49) Other @ 1% Total : 21.1%	0-1 @ 5.07% ( 0.39) 1-2 @ 4.54% ( 0.63) 0-2 @ 2.3% ( 0.38) 1-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.3) 2-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.27) Other @ 1.9% Total : 16.54%

Head to Head

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
1	Paris Saint-Germain PSG	2	2	0	0	10	2	8	6
2	Lille	2	1	1	0	5	2	3	4
3	Toulouse	2	1	1	0	4	1	3	4
4	Lens	2	1	1	0	3	2	1	4
5	Monaco Monaco	2	1	1	0	3	2	1	4
6	Marseille	1	1	0	0	4	1	3	3
7	Lyon	1	1	0	0	2	1	1	3
8	Lorient	1	1	0	0	1	0	1	3
9	Montpellier HSC Montpellier	2	1	0	1	5	7	-2	3
10	Clermont	2	1	0	1	4	7	-3	3
11	Angers	2	0	2	0	2	2	0	2
12	Nice	2	0	2	0	2	2	0	2
13	Nantes Nantes	2	0	2	0	1	1	0	2
14	Strasbourg Strasbourg	2	0	1	1	2	3	-1	1
15	Ajaccio	2	0	1	1	1	2	-1	1
16	Rennes	2	0	1	1	1	2	-1	1
17	Auxerre	2	0	1	1	3	6	-3	1
18	Brest	1	0	0	1	2	3	-1	0
19	Troyes	2	0	0	2	2	6	-4	0
20	Reims	2	0	0	2	3	8	-5	0

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
1	Manchester City Man City	2	2	0	0	6	0	6	6
2	Arsenal	2	2	0	0	6	2	4	6
3	Brentford	2	1	1	0	6	2	4	4
4	Tottenham Hotspur Spurs	2	1	1	0	6	3	3	4
5	Newcastle United Newcastle	2	1	1	0	2	0	2	4
6	Leeds United Leeds	2	1	1	0	4	3	1	4
7	Chelsea	2	1	1	0	3	2	1	4
8	Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton	2	1	1	0	2	1	1	4
9	Aston Villa	2	1	0	1	2	3	-1	3
10	Nottingham Forest Nott'm Forest	2	1	0	1	1	2	-1	3
11	Bournemouth	2	1	0	1	2	4	-2	3
12	Fulham	2	0	2	0	2	2	0	2
13	Liverpool	1	0	1	0	2	2	0	1
14	Wolverhampton Wanderers Wolves	2	0	1	1	1	2	-1	1
15	Leicester City Leicester	2	0	1	1	4	6	-2	1
16	Southampton	2	0	1	1	3	6	-3	1
17	Everton	2	0	0	2	1	3	-2	0
18	Crystal Palace	1	0	0	1	0	2	-2	0
19	West Ham United West Ham	2	0	0	2	0	3	-3	0
20	Manchester United Man Utd	2	0	0	2	1	6	-5	0

Form, Standings, Stats

Nice

Saint-Etienne

We said: Nice 3-1 Saint-Etienne

Data Analysis

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