Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lorient win with a probability of 38.42%. A win for Nice had a probability of 33.18% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.94%) and 2-0 (7.27%). The likeliest Nice win was 0-1 (11.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lorient in this match.
