On paper, this should be a routine three points for Nice, but there can certainly be no guarantees given their recent results. However, we expect Troyes to sit back against their more illustrious hosts, a tactic which may only invite pressure and give Nice a much-needed upper hand.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 57.24%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 19.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.89%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.2%), while for a Troyes win it was 0-1 (6.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nice in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Nice.
