Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lorient win with a probability of 40.74%. A win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 31.1% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (7.8%). The likeliest Saint-Etienne win was 0-1 (10.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lorient would win this match.
