Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 46.5%. A win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 27.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.23%) and 0-2 (8.26%). The likeliest Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.