Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 44.04%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 27.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.94%) and 2-1 (8.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.11%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (10.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sao Paulo in this match.
