Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 36.66%. A win for Corinthians had a probability of 34.93% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.72%) and 0-2 (6.84%). The likeliest Corinthians win was 1-0 (11.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
