Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 49.04%. A win for Palmeiras had a probability of 26.99% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.41%) and 0-2 (7.97%). The likeliest Palmeiras win was 2-1 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.
