Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 54.98%. A win for Palmeiras had a probability of 22.64% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.16%) and 2-0 (8.66%). The likeliest Palmeiras win was 1-2 (5.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.
